Norway
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 Ø. Nyland €900k 35 yrSevilla · La Liga78 caps · 28 since 2024 (6.972413793103448rtg)
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13 E. Selvik €1.3M 28 yrWatford · Championship8 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.6174311926605505rtg)
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12 S. Tangvik 23 yrRosenborg · Eliteserien
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3 K. Ajer €16.0M 27 yrBrentford · Premier League59 caps · 3G · 26 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.885454545454546rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.66 rtg
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26 J. Ryerson €20.0M 28 yrBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga49 caps · 2G · 27 since 2024 (2G/10A · 7.1215625000000005rtg) | club 0G · 15A · 7.11 rtg
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4 L. Østigård €10.0M 26 yrGenoa · Serie A44 caps · 2G · 25 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.221764705882353rtg) | club 5G · 1A · 7.23 rtg
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16 M. Pedersen €3.5M 25 yrTorino · Serie A37 caps · 1G · 16 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.704741379310345rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.56 rtg
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5 D. Møller Wolfe €4.5M 23 yrWolves · Premier League29 caps · 2G · 28 since 2024 (2G/4A · 6.932914046121593rtg) | club 0G · 2A · 6.57 rtg
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14 F. Aursnes 30 yrBenfica · Primeira Liga28 caps · 1G · 8 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.681818181818182rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 7.16 rtg
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15 F. Bjørkan €1.8M 27 yrBodo/Glimt · Eliteserien23 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.184615384615384rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 7.43 rtg
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17 T. Heggem €13.0M 26 yrBologna · Serie A22 caps · 22 since 2024 (6.737992125984253rtg)
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18 K. Thorstvedt €8.0M 26 yrSassuolo · Serie A77 caps · 6G · 52 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.438rtg) | club 4G · 4A · 6.88 rtg
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10 M. Ødegaard 27 yrArsenal · Premier League74 caps · 5G · 19 since 2024 (2G/14A · 7.237354988399073rtg) | club 1G · 6A · 7.01 rtg
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8 S. Berge €25.0M 27 yrFulham · Premier League73 caps · 1G · 31 since 2024 (1G/7A · 7.129090909090909rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.89 rtg
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20 A. Nusa €32.0M 20 yrRB Leipzig · Bundesliga30 caps · 10G · 26 since 2024 (9G/4A · 7.0910761154855635rtg) | club 4G · 3A · 7.1 rtg
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6 P. Berg €4.5M 28 yrBodo/Glimt · Eliteserien51 caps · 29 since 2024 (0G/2A · 7.045013477088948rtg) | club 5G · 12A · 7.89 rtg
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2 M. Thorsby €3.0M 29 yrGenoa · Serie A33 caps · 16 since 2024 (0G/3A · 6.237500000000001rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.62 rtg
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19 T. Aasgaard 23 yrRangers · Premiership11 caps · 6G · 11 since 2024 (6G/2A · 7.414705882352941rtg) | club 7G · 4A · 7.02 rtg
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23 J. Hauge €2.5M 26 yrBodo/Glimt · Eliteserien19 caps · 1G · 9 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.402500000000001rtg) | club 8G · 4A · 7.64 rtg
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9 E. Haaland Top scorer €200.0M 25 yrManchester City · Premier League56 caps · 64G · 27 since 2024 (37G/3A · 8.008333333333333rtg) | club 27G · 8A · 7.31 rtg
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7 A. Sørloth €20.0M 30 yrAtletico Madrid · La Liga85 caps · 28G · 28 since 2024 (11G/5A · 6.536855036855036rtg) | club 13G · 6.81 rtg
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11 J. Strand Larsen €40.0M 25 yrWolves · Premier League30 caps · 8G · 19 since 2024 (5G/1A · 6.563953488372093rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.37 rtg
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22 Oscar Bobb €25.0M 22 yrFulham · Premier League26 caps · 2G · 22 since 2024 (1G/2A · 7.175285171102661rtg)
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21 A. Schjelderup €14.0M 21 yrBenfica · Primeira Liga20 caps · 1G · 20 since 2024 (1G/6A · 7.1015625rtg) | club 7G · 5A · 7.33 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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24 S. Langås 24 yrDerby · 18c/1g
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25 H. Falchener 22 yrViking · 2c
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
4 matches| Date | Match | P(NOR win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | A vs Iraq (IRQ) | 65.2% | 20.9% | |
| 2026-06-22 | H vs Senegal (SEN) | 38.6% | 26.6% | |
| 2026-06-26 | H vs France (FRA) | 21.5% | 23.5% | |
| 2026-06-30 | A vs Ivory Coast (CIV) | 36.8% | 25.4% |
What the squad is worth
Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | England | 7 | 23.1% | 100 |
| Eliteserien | Norway | 5 | 23.1% | 45 |
| Serie A | Italy | 5 | 19.2% | 88 |
| Championship | England | 2 | 10.5% | 55 |
| Bundesliga | Germany | 2 | 8.2% | 90 |
| Primeira Liga | Portugal | 2 | 7.7% | 70 |
| La Liga | Spain | 2 | 4.6% | 95 |
| Premiership | Scotland | 1 | 3.5% | 50 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -3.4 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
No current injury records in the latest feed.
4 verified outlets for Norway (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.