Group E · Matchday 20 · 2026-06-30
Ivory Coast vs Norway
Dallas, nan
Full time
CIV 1–2 NOR
The forecast below is what the agent published before kickoff.
Most likely scoreline
1–1
10.5%
37.7%
CIV win
25.4%
Draw
36.8%
NOR win
Top scorelines
- 1–1 10.5%
- 1–0 10.2%
- 0–1 10.0%
- 0–0 9.7%
Total goals
0 to 10 goals · most likely → tallest
Last 5 — CIV
+0.81 pts/match
vs model expectation
· opp. avg #37
- SCO #39 +1.6
- FRA #5 +2.5
- ECU #17 +1.9
- GER #7 -0.8
- CUW #119 +0.6
GF / GA last 10: 20 / 9
Last 5 — NOR
+0.38 pts/match
vs model expectation
· opp. avg #28
- SWE #24 +1.2
- MAR #11 +0.1
- IRQ #80 +0.7
- SEN #21 +1.6
- FRA #5 -0.8
GF / GA last 10: 22 / 14
Head-to-head (last 5)
No prior meetings in the dataset.
▸ Full score grid (7×7)
P(home goals × away goals), %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9.7
10.0
6.2
3.0
1.2
0.5
0.2
1
10.2
10.5
6.5
3.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
2
6.4
6.6
4.1
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
3
3.1
3.2
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.1
4
1.3
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
6
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows = CIV goals; columns = NOR goals. Above-diagonal cells are home wins; diagonal = draws; below = away wins. Truncated at 6 — the joint mass past that is < 1 %.
Expected goals (Poisson rate, λ)
1.33
CIV
1.3
NOR
Independent-Poisson rates. W/D/L and the score grid integrate the full 13×13 joint under these two parameters.
News context — injuries, suspensions, projected XI — is not part of the model, which sees only past results.