Canada
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
16 M. Crépeau €1.8M 31 yrPortland Timbers · Major League Soccer41 caps · 23 since 2024 (6.550398406374502rtg)
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1 D. St. Clair €3.5M 28 yrMinnesota United FC · Major League Soccer28 caps · 20 since 2024 (6.73rtg)
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18 O. Goodman €150k 22 yrBarnsley · League One
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19 A. Davies 25 yrBayern München · Bundesliga59 caps · 15G · 14 since 2024 (15G/0A · 6.3rtg) | club 1G · 3A · 6.84 rtg
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22 R. Laryea €1.0M 30 yrToronto FC · Major League Soccer74 caps · 1G · 32 since 2024 (1G/1A · 7.375106382978724rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.84 rtg
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2 A. Johnston 27 yrCeltic · League Cup61 caps · 1G · 21 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.07589641434263rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.2 rtg
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13 D. Cornelius €4.0M 28 yrRangers · League Cup50 caps · 1G · 29 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.726020408163265rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.911111 rtg
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4 L. De Fougerolles €300k 20 yrDender · Jupiler Pro League24 caps · 21 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.6262557077625575rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.78 rtg
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15 M. Bombito 26 yrNice · Ligue 124 caps · 20 since 2024 (0G/2A · 6.292444444444445rtg)
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5 J. Waterman €2.0M 29 yrCF Montreal · Major League Soccer19 caps · 16 since 2024 (6.85rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.85 rtg
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3 A. Jones 28 yrMiddlesbrough · Championship1 cap · 1 since 2024 (6.9rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.92 rtg
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21 J. Osorio €1.0M 33 yrToronto FC · Major League Soccer95 caps · 11G · 24 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.308620689655172rtg) | club 4G · 1A · 7.03 rtg
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17 T. Buchanan €8.0M 26 yrVillarreal · La Liga59 caps · 7G · 27 since 2024 (3G/1A · 6.560705882352941rtg) | club 7G · 1A · 6.81 rtg
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7 S. Eustáquio €11.0M 29 yrFC Porto · Primeira Liga61 caps · 5G · 26 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.823927765237021rtg)
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8 I. Koné Top minutes €14.0M 23 yrSassuolo · Serie A41 caps · 3G · 26 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.73125rtg) | club 6G · 7.03 rtg
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14 J. Shaffelburg €2.5M 26 yrNashville SC · Major League Soccer32 caps · 6G · 26 since 2024 (4G/1A · 6.547524752475247rtg) | club 4G · 2A · 6.85 rtg
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11 L. Millar €1.7M 26 yrHull City · Championship44 caps · 20 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.696153846153846rtg) | club 3G · 5A · 6.82 rtg
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20 A. Ahmed 25 yrVancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer33 caps · 1G · 27 since 2024 (1G/4A · 6.965677966101695rtg) | club 1G · 10A · 7.3 rtg
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6 M. Choinière €800k 26 yrLos Angeles FC · Major League Soccer28 caps · 26 since 2024 (6.637864077669903rtg) | club 1G · 7.0 rtg
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9 C. Larin €3.5M 30 yrSouthampton · Championship99 caps · 36G · 25 since 2024 (3G/1A · 6.5837606837606835rtg) | club 8G · 1A · 6.72 rtg
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10 J. David Top scorer €35.0M 25 yrJuventus · Serie A76 caps · 37G · 34 since 2024 (14G/4A · 6.851807228915662rtg) | club 6G · 4A · 6.43 rtg
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12 T. Oluwaseyi €7.0M 25 yrMinnesota United FC · Major League Soccer30 caps · 2G · 30 since 2024 (2G/6A · 6.881639344262295rtg) | club 10G · 7A · 7.2 rtg
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24 P. David €13.0M 24 yrUnion St. Gilloise · Super Cup13 caps · 3G · 13 since 2024 (3G/1A · 6.615384615384615rtg) | club 16G · 4A · 6.990322 rtg
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26 J. Nelson €2.0M 22 yr—
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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23 N. Sigur 22 yrHNK Hajduk Split · 22c/2g
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25 N. Saliba 21 yrAnderlecht · 17c/3g
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
4 matches| Date | Match | P(CAN win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | H vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH) | 54.3% | 23.4% | |
| 2026-06-18 | H vs Qatar (QAT) | 66.9% | 18.2% | |
| 2026-06-24 | H vs Switzerland (SUI) | 30.2% | 25.2% | |
| 2026-06-28 | A vs South Africa (RSA) | 37.8% | 28.5% |
What the squad is worth
25 of 26 valuedSource: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major League Soccer | USA | 9 | 36.7% | 50 |
| Championship | England | 3 | 12.3% | 55 |
| Serie A | Italy | 2 | 11.4% | 88 |
| Jupiler Pro League | Belgium | 2 | 10.1% | 65 |
| HNL | Croatia | 1 | 5.6% | 55 |
| League Cup | Scotland | 2 | 5.1% | 50 |
| League One | England | 1 | 5.0% | 45 |
| La Liga | Spain | 1 | 4.6% | 95 |
| Super Cup (unrated) | 1 | 4.5% | 30 | |
| Liga MX | Mexico | 1 | 2.4% | 50 |
| Bundesliga | Germany | 1 | 1.3% | 90 |
| Primeira Liga | Portugal | 1 | 0.5% | 70 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 1 | 0.4% | 80 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -16.2 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
Current injury records in the latest feed: A. Jones, A. Jones, I. Koné, I. Koné, I. Koné.
4 verified outlets for Canada (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.