Portugal
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 Diogo Costa 26 yrFC Porto · Primeira Liga46 caps · 27 since 2024 (7.42rtg)
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12 José Sá €100k 32 yrWolves · Premier League4 caps · 3 since 2024 (7.91rtg)
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22 Rui Silva €8.0M 31 yrSporting CP · Primeira Liga2 caps · 1 since 2024 (7.2rtg)
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20 João Cancelo €25.0M 31 yrAl-Hilal Saudi FC · King's Cup67 caps · 12G · 21 since 2024 (2G/3A · 6.7535031847133755rtg) | club 2G · 4A · 7.271875 rtg
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3 Rúben Dias 28 yrManchester City · Premier League69 caps · 3G · 24 since 2024 (1G/1A · 7.25rtg) | club 2G · 7.17 rtg
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2 Nélson Semedo 32 yrFenerbahçe · Süper Lig53 caps · 24 since 2024 (0G/5A · 6.597580645161291rtg) | club 1G · 3A · 6.89 rtg
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25 Nuno Mendes €75.0M 23 yrParis Saint Germain · Ligue 147 caps · 2G · 28 since 2024 (2G/6A · 7.490680100755667rtg) | club 4G · 5A · 7.3 rtg
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5 Diogo Dalot €28.0M 26 yrManchester United · Premier League37 caps · 3G · 19 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.9921875rtg) | club 1G · 3A · 6.86 rtg
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14 Gonçalo Inácio €45.0M 24 yrSporting CP · Primeira Liga19 caps · 2G · 14 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.88rtg) | club 2G · 3A · 7.59 rtg
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13 Renato Veiga €25.0M 22 yrVillarreal · La Liga15 caps · 1G · 15 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.12rtg)
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4 Tomás Araújo €28.0M 23 yrBenfica · Primeira Liga4 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.9rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 7.09 rtg
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8 Bruno Fernandes Top minutes €40.0M 31 yrManchester United · Premier League85 caps · 27G · 28 since 2024 (9G/4A · 7.57872340425532rtg) | club 9G · 21A · 7.63 rtg
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10 Bernardo Silva 31 yrManchester City · Premier League102 caps · 11G · 23 since 2024 (3G/1A · 6.395145631067961rtg) | club 2G · 4A · 6.85 rtg
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11 João Félix €25.0M 26 yrAl-Nassr · Pro League51 caps · 11G · 19 since 2024 (4G/1A · 6.670098039215686rtg) | club 20G · 13A · 7.75 rtg
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21 Rúben Neves €40.0M 28 yrAl-Hilal Saudi FC · Pro League65 caps · 1G · 21 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.683333333333333rtg) | club 11G · 7A · 7.82 rtg
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17 Rafael Leão 26 yrAC Milan · Serie A47 caps · 6G · 24 since 2024 (3G/2A · 6.6472049689440995rtg) | club 9G · 3A · 6.92 rtg
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23 Vitinha €110.0M 25 yrParis Saint Germain · Ligue 141 caps · 27 since 2024 (0G/3A · 7.24015748031496rtg) | club 1G · 7A · 7.58 rtg
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15 João Neves €110.0M 21 yrParis Saint Germain · Ligue 125 caps · 4G · 22 since 2024 (4G/0A · 7.234526854219949rtg) | club 5G · 1A · 7.16 rtg
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18 Pedro Neto €60.0M 25 yrChelsea · Premier League27 caps · 2G · 22 since 2024 (1G/3A · 6.8352272727272725rtg) | club 5G · 6A · 6.97 rtg
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7 Cristiano Ronaldo Top scorer 40 yrAl-Nassr · Pro League161 caps · 113G · 25 since 2024 (18G/2A · 7.057142857142857rtg) | club 28G · 2A · 7.16 rtg
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9 Gonçalo Ramos €35.0M 24 yrParis Saint Germain · Ligue 125 caps · 11G · 15 since 2024 (4G/1A · 7.407692307692307rtg) | club 6G · 1A · 6.61 rtg
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19 Gonçalo Guedes €6.0M 29 yrReal Sociedad · La Liga28 caps · 5G · 1 since 2024 (5G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 8G · 4A · 6.88 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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16 Trincão 26 yrSporting CP · 18c/3g
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6 Matheus Nunes 27 yrManchester City · 20c/2g
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26 Francisco Conceição 23 yrJuventus · 18c/3g
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24 Samú Costa 25 yrMallorca · 5c
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(POR win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | H vs DR Congo (COD) | 63.6% | 23.4% | |
| 2026-06-23 | H vs Uzbekistan (UZB) | 70.9% | 19.0% | |
| 2026-06-27 | A vs Colombia (COL) | 39.0% | 29.3% |
What the squad is worth
25 of 26 valuedSource: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | England | 7 | 30.1% | 100 |
| Primeira Liga | Portugal | 5 | 21.1% | 70 |
| Pro League | Saudi-Arabia | 3 | 13.6% | 60 |
| La Liga | Spain | 3 | 11.6% | 95 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 4 | 9.8% | 80 |
| Serie A | Italy | 2 | 6.5% | 88 |
| King's Cup (unrated) | 1 | 4.1% | 30 | |
| Süper Lig | Turkey | 1 | 3.2% | 60 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -3.6 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
No current injury records in the latest feed.
4 verified outlets for Portugal (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.