Paraguay
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
12 O. Gill €6.0M 25 yrSan Lorenzo · Liga Profesional Argentina10 caps · 10 since 2024 (7.6rtg)
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22 G. Olveira 32 yrOlimpia · Division Profesional - Apertura1 cap
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1 R. Fernandez €3.5M 37 yr—
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15 G. Gómez €8.5M 32 yrPalmeiras · Serie A93 caps · 4G · 27 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.6875rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 7.23 rtg
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6 J. Alonso €8.0M 32 yrAtletico-MG · Serie A75 caps · 3G · 25 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.346272493573264rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.02 rtg
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5 F. Balbuena €1.5M 34 yrGremio · Serie A48 caps · 2G · 16 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.89rtg) | club 1G · 7.13 rtg
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3 O. Alderete Top minutes €12.0M 29 yrSunderland · Premier League39 caps · 3G · 27 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.762111801242235rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.83 rtg
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4 J. Cáceres €4.0M 25 yrDynamo · Premier League21 caps · 20 since 2024 (0G/3A · 6.929840546697039rtg) | club 1G · 6A · 7.02 rtg
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2 G. Velázquez 34 yrCerro Porteno · Division Profesional - Apertura17 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.730327868852459rtg) | club 1G · 7.23 rtg
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13 J. Canale €2.2M 29 yrLanus · Liga Profesional Argentina5 caps · 5 since 2024 (7.18780487804878rtg) | club 4G · 7.35 rtg
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26 A. Maidana €2.5M 20 yrClub Guarani · Division Profesional - Apertura3 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.683333333333333rtg) | club 3G · 7.0 rtg
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10 M. Almirón Top scorer €9.0M 31 yrAtlanta United FC · Major League Soccer79 caps · 9G · 30 since 2024 (2G/2A · 6.514583333333333rtg) | club 6G · 4A · 7.22 rtg
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14 A. Cubas 29 yrVancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer37 caps · 23 since 2024 (6.9375rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.99 rtg
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8 D. Gómez €25.0M 22 yrBrighton · Premier League27 caps · 2G · 23 since 2024 (2G/2A · 6.323778501628664rtg) | club 5G · 1A · 6.74 rtg
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16 D. Bobadilla €6.0M 24 yrSao Paulo · Serie A24 caps · 1G · 24 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.571428571428571rtg) | club 4G · 2A · 7.04 rtg
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23 M. Galarza €3.0M 23 yrTalleres Cordoba · Liga Profesional Argentina18 caps · 3G · 15 since 2024 (3G/2A · 7.059020618556701rtg)
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20 B. Ojeda €3.5M 25 yrReal Salt Lake · Major League Soccer17 caps · 9 since 2024 (6.299999999999999rtg) | club 2G · 6.96 rtg
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11 Maurício €15.0M 24 yrPalmeiras · Serie A6 caps · 1G · 6 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.976744186046512rtg) | club 3G · 7A · 6.92 rtg
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24 G. Caballero €1.0M 24 yrNacional Asuncion · Division Profesional - Apertura4 caps · 1G · 4 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.630851063829787rtg) | club 5G
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9 A. Sanabria €7.0M 29 yrCremonese · Serie A49 caps · 7G · 21 since 2024 (5G/1A · 6.6012048192771084rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.5 rtg
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19 J. Enciso €20.0M 21 yrStrasbourg · Ligue 136 caps · 5G · 25 since 2024 (5G/5A · 6.961240310077519rtg) | club 3G · 6A · 7.06 rtg
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17 A. Romero €600k 30 yrAl Ain · Pro League34 caps · 5G · 19 since 2024 (5G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 1G · 3A · 7.06 rtg
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7 R. Sosa €11.0M 26 yrPalmeiras · Serie A29 caps · 1G · 27 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.7rtg) | club 3G · 3A · 6.89 rtg
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21 G. Ávalos €750k 35 yrIndependiente · Copa Argentina26 caps · 2G · 16 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.482978723404255rtg) | club 16G · 3A · 7.14 rtg
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18 A. Arce €3.5M 30 yrLDU de Quito · Liga Pro16 caps · 1G · 16 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.3rtg) | club 2G · 3A · 6.97 rtg
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25 I. Pitta 26 yrRB Bragantino · Serie A6 caps · 6 since 2024 (5.9rtg) | club 7G · 2A · 6.96 rtg
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
4 matches| Date | Match | P(PAR win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | A vs United States (USA) | 29.8% | 28.4% | |
| 2026-06-19 | A vs Turkey (TUR) | 33.6% | 29.4% | |
| 2026-06-25 | H vs Australia (AUS) | 32.1% | 34.1% | |
| 2026-06-29 | A vs Germany (GER) | 15.1% | 20.1% |
What the squad is worth
24 of 26 valuedSource: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.
Where the squad plays
25 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | Brazil | 7 | 26.0% | 70 |
| Major League Soccer | USA | 3 | 17.3% | 50 |
| Liga Profesional Argentina | Argentina | 3 | 11.7% | 62 |
| Premier League | England | 2 | 11.6% | 100 |
| Division Profesional - Apertura | Paraguay | 4 | 11.0% | 45 |
| Copa Argentina | Argentina | 1 | 6.1% | 62 |
| Premier League | Russia | 1 | 4.9% | 55 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 1 | 4.4% | 80 |
| Pro League | United-Arab-Emirates | 1 | 2.6% | 40 |
| Liga Pro | Ecuador | 1 | 2.3% | 45 |
| Serie A | Italy | 1 | 2.2% | 88 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -10.9 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
Current injury records in the latest feed: M. Almirón, D. Gómez, D. Gómez.
4 verified outlets for Paraguay (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.