New Zealand
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 M. Crocombe €1.0M 32 yrMillwall · Championship23 caps · 20 since 2024 (6.325423728813559rtg)
-
12 A. Paulsen €500k 23 yrLechia Gdansk · Ekstraklasa6 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.6rtg)
-
22 M. Woud €250k 26 yrAuckland · A-League5 caps
-
5 M. Boxall €150k 37 yrMinnesota United FC · Major League Soccer62 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.473883161512028rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.03 rtg
-
15 N. Pijnaker €175k 26 yrAuckland · A-League52 caps · 4G · 33 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.7rtg)
-
26 T. Smith €50k 35 yrBraintree · FA Cup54 caps · 2G · 5 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.3rtg)
-
2 T. Payne €350k 31 yrWellington Phoenix · A-League48 caps · 3G · 17 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.227335640138408rtg) | club 0G · 5A · 6.59 rtg
-
13 L. Cacace €3.0M 25 yrWrexham · Championship38 caps · 1G · 19 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.525704225352111rtg)
-
4 Tyler Bindon €1.5M 20 yrSheffield Utd · Championship24 caps · 3G · 20 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.177611940298507rtg) | club 1G · 6.92 rtg
-
16 F. Surman €1.8M 22 yrPortland Timbers · Major League Soccer18 caps · 3G · 17 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.869014084507042rtg)
-
3 F. de Vries €600k 31 yrAuckland · A-League19 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.353846153846154rtg) | club 1G · 7A · 7.32 rtg
-
11 E. Just €350k 25 yrMotherwell · Premiership44 caps · 10G · 23 since 2024 (9G/0A · 7.471137026239067rtg) | club 7G · 7A · 7.11 rtg
-
8 M. Stamenic €3.0M 23 yrSwansea · Championship39 caps · 2G · 19 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.854674220963172rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 6.75 rtg
-
20 C. McCowatt €2.0M 26 yrSilkeborg · Superliga31 caps · 4G · 14 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.374269005847953rtg) | club 11G · 5A · 7.23 rtg
-
6 J. Bell €1.2M 26 yrViking · Eliteserien33 caps · 1G · 14 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.531141868512111rtg) | club 3G · 4A · 7.34 rtg
-
23 R. Thomas Top minutes €900k 31 yrPEC Zwolle · Eredivisie24 caps · 3G · 7 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.564197530864197rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.13 rtg
-
10 S. Singh €600k 26 yrTSC Backa Topola · Super Liga26 caps · 2G · 17 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.127551020408164rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.82 rtg
-
14 A. Rufer €600k 29 yrWellington Phoenix · A-League22 caps · 15 since 2024 (6.3rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 7.18 rtg
-
25 L. Bayliss €550k 23 yrNewcastle Jets · A-League| club 5G · 3A · 7.03 rtg
-
9 C. Wood Top scorer €8.0M 34 yrNottingham Forest · Premier League87 caps · 45G · 17 since 2024 (11G/2A · 6.563793103448275rtg) | club 3G · 6.61 rtg
-
17 K. Barbarouses €500k 35 yrWestern Sydney Wanderers · A-League71 caps · 9G · 18 since 2024 (5G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 4G · 1A · 6.6 rtg
-
18 B. Waine €400k 24 yrPort Vale · League One29 caps · 8G · 17 since 2024 (7G/0A · 6.73rtg) | club 3G · 1A · 6.65 rtg
-
19 B. Old €600k 23 yrSaint Etienne · Ligue 223 caps · 2G · 21 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.618333333333334rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.65 rtg
-
21 J. Randall €900k 23 yrAuckland · A-League11 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.702272727272727rtg) | club 9G · 8A · 7.18 rtg
-
7 L. Rogerson 27 yr—
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
-
24 C. Elliot 26 yrAuckland · 8c
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(NZL win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | A vs Iran (IRN) | 14.8% | 25.6% | |
| 2026-06-21 | H vs Egypt (EGY) | 14.9% | 26.9% | |
| 2026-06-26 | H vs Belgium (BEL) | 6.7% | 14.8% |
What the squad is worth
Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-League | Australia | 9 | 32.7% | 42 |
| Championship | England | 4 | 15.2% | 55 |
| Major League Soccer | USA | 2 | 12.7% | 50 |
| League One | England | 2 | 6.8% | 45 |
| Premiership | Scotland | 1 | 5.6% | 50 |
| Eliteserien | Norway | 1 | 5.3% | 45 |
| Superliga | Denmark | 1 | 5.2% | 50 |
| Ekstraklasa | Poland | 1 | 4.5% | 48 |
| Eredivisie | Netherlands | 1 | 4.5% | 72 |
| Ligue 2 | France | 1 | 3.9% | 48 |
| Premier League | England | 1 | 1.9% | 100 |
| Super Liga | Serbia | 1 | 1.8% | 45 |
| FA Cup | England | 1 | 0.0% | 100 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -16.3 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
No current injury records in the latest feed.
4 verified outlets for New Zealand (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.