Japan
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
23 T. Hayakawa €2.0M 26 yrKashima · J1 League36 caps · 36 since 2024 (6.68rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 7.15 rtg
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1 Z. Suzuki €20.0M 23 yrParma · Serie A28 caps · 21 since 2024 (7.3rtg)
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12 K. Osako €2.0M 26 yrSanfrecce Hiroshima · J1 League13 caps · 7 since 2024 (6.68rtg)
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5 Y. Nagatomo €300k 39 yrFC Tokyo · J1 League129 caps · 2G · 4 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.9rtg) | club 0G · 2A · 6.692307 rtg
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22 T. Tomiyasu €12.0M 27 yrAjax · Eredivisie46 caps · 1G · 6 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.548913043478261rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.61 rtg
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3 S. Taniguchi €800k 34 yrSt. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League44 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.572727272727272rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.1 rtg
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4 K. Itakura 28 yrAjax · Eredivisie42 caps · 2G · 16 since 2024 (1G/1A · 7.627906976744186rtg) | club 1G · 6.99 rtg
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21 H. Ito €18.0M 26 yrBayern München · Bundesliga34 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.625rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.81 rtg
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20 A. Seko €5.0M 25 yrLe Havre · Ligue 116 caps · 13 since 2024 (6.5127906976744185rtg)
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16 T. Watanabe €10.0M 28 yrFeyenoord · Eredivisie15 caps · 11 since 2024 (6.566666666666666rtg) | club 2G · 7.12 rtg
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25 J. Suzuki €3.5M 22 yrFC Copenhagen · Superliga8 caps · 8 since 2024 (6.365853658536586rtg) | club 2G · 6.96 rtg
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7 A. Tanaka 27 yrLeeds · Premier League41 caps · 8G · 19 since 2024 (2G/1A · 7.33125rtg) | club 2G · 6.74 rtg
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13 Keito Nakamura €8.0M 25 yrReims · Ligue 231 caps · 11G · 22 since 2024 (6G/4A · 7.323548387096775rtg) | club 14G · 2A · 7.18 rtg
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2 Y. Sugawara €7.5M 25 yrWerder Bremen · Bundesliga28 caps · 2G · 16 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.729655172413793rtg) | club 0G · 6A · 6.53 rtg
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24 K. Sano Top minutes €25.0M 25 yrFSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga19 caps · 1G · 14 since 2024 (1G/3A · 7.166666666666667rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 7.05 rtg
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17 Y. Suzuki €15.0M 24 yrSC Freiburg · Bundesliga7 caps · 7 since 2024 (6.7rtg) | club 4G · 2A · 6.77 rtg
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14 J. Ito €3.5M 32 yrGenk · Jupiler Pro League74 caps · 16G · 21 since 2024 (3G/13A · 6.80093023255814rtg) | club 6G · 5A · 7.1 rtg
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10 R. Doan €18.0M 27 yrEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga69 caps · 11G · 25 since 2024 (4G/4A · 6.596808510638298rtg) | club 5G · 5A · 6.82 rtg
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15 D. Kamada €12.0M 29 yrCrystal Palace · Premier League53 caps · 14G · 23 since 2024 (8G/1A · 6.917522658610271rtg)
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18 A. Ueda Top scorer €8.0M 27 yrFeyenoord · Eredivisie43 caps · 18G · 21 since 2024 (12G/4A · 7.298148148148148rtg) | club 25G · 1A · 7.17 rtg
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8 T. Kubo 24 yrReal Sociedad · La Liga50 caps · 7G · 17 since 2024 (4G/11A · 6.6rtg) | club 2G · 4A · 7.05 rtg
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11 D. Maeda €14.0M 28 yrCeltic · Premiership32 caps · 5G · 14 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.078775510204083rtg) | club 14G · 6A · 6.77 rtg
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19 Koki Ogawa €2.5M 28 yrNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie18 caps · 11G · 17 since 2024 (8G/2A · 6.392307692307693rtg) | club 8G · 3A · 6.82 rtg
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9 K. Goto €10.0M 20 yrSt. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League5 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.9rtg) | club 11G · 7A · 6.79 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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26 K. Shiogai 20 yrNEC Nijmegen · 3c
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6 S. Machino 26 yr
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
4 matches| Date | Match | P(JPN win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | A vs Netherlands (NED) | 27.4% | 25.4% | |
| 2026-06-20 | A vs Tunisia (TUN) | 50.2% | 27.8% | |
| 2026-06-25 | H vs Sweden (SWE) | 42.1% | 26.1% | |
| 2026-06-29 | A vs Brazil (BRA) | 14.7% | 21.0% |
What the squad is worth
Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | Germany | 5 | 20.2% | 90 |
| J1 League | Japan | 3 | 16.7% | 55 |
| Eredivisie | Netherlands | 6 | 16.4% | 72 |
| Jupiler Pro League | Belgium | 3 | 14.8% | 65 |
| Premier League | England | 3 | 6.7% | 100 |
| Premiership | Scotland | 1 | 5.5% | 50 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 1 | 5.1% | 80 |
| Ligue 2 | France | 1 | 4.6% | 48 |
| Superliga | Denmark | 1 | 3.7% | 50 |
| Serie A | Italy | 1 | 3.5% | 88 |
| La Liga | Spain | 1 | 2.9% | 95 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -6.6 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
Current injury records in the latest feed: S. Machino, T. Kubo, T. Kubo.
4 verified outlets for Japan (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.