Agent Lab — a live forecast exhibit · Applied AI
← Group J
Group J · JOR · outside top-16

Jordan

Strength
68.8
± 1.6
Attack
69.0
0–100
Defense
69.9
0–100
P(champion)
0.0%
0.1% reach final
Strength trajectory
67.9 → 69.7 · +1.8
2023-03-31 range 66.8–69.7 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
0.0%
to lift
Polymarket
0.1%
implied · -0.1pp
Kalshi
0.1%
implied · -0.1pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.

Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
2.4%
R16
6.0%
Quarter
1.5%
Semi
0.3%
Final
0.1%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data
Home venue
Amman International Stadium
ʿAmmān (Amman) · 25,000 seats (WC avg 55,865; -30,865)
Age profile
mean 27.3 / WC 27.0
U-22 22–25 26–29 30–33 34+
Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).
GK Goalkeepers · 3
  • 1 Yazid Abu Layla 32 yr
    —
    59 caps · 31 since 2024 (6.475247524752476rtg)
  • 22 Abdallah Al Fakhouri €250k 25 yr
    —
    4 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.9rtg)
  • 12 Noureddin Zaid €250k 32 yr
    —
    1 cap
DEF Defenders · 10
  • 5 Yazan Al Arab €1.0M 29 yr
    FC Seoul · K League 1
    67 caps · 3G · 27 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.079207920792079rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.88 rtg
  • 23 Ehsan Haddad 31 yr
    —
    67 caps · 1G · 20 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.356510416666667rtg)
  • 3 Abdallah Naseeb €400k 31 yr
    —
    51 caps · 1G · 23 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.372964169381108rtg)
  • 16 M. Abualnadi €350k 24 yr
    —
    16 caps · 16 since 2024 (6.1230769230769235rtg)
  • 17 Saleem Obaid €100k 33 yr
    —
    11 caps · 11 since 2024 (6.780373831775701rtg)
  • 19 Saed Al Rosan €450k 28 yr
    —
    7 caps · 6 since 2024
  • 2 M. Abu Hasheesh €400k 30 yr
    —
  • 4 H. Abu Al Dahab €250k* 25 yr
    —
+ 2 more in the broader pool
MID Midfielders · 8
  • 10 Mousa Tamari Top minutes €6.0M 28 yr
    Rennes · Ligue 1
    71 caps · 13G · 27 since 2024 (3G/5A · 6.896284829721362rtg)  |  club 6G · 6A · 6.9 rtg
  • 8 Noor Al Rawabdeh 28 yr
    —
    53 caps · 4G · 21 since 2024 (2G/2A · 6.476590330788804rtg)
  • 21 Nizar Al Rashdan €600k 26 yr
    Qatar SC · Stars League
    37 caps · 3G · 26 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.460055096418733rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.99 rtg
  • 14 Rajaei Ayed €325k 32 yr
    —
    42 caps · 10 since 2024 (6.57rtg)
  • 20 Mohannad Abu Taha €250k* 22 yr
    —
    22 caps · 22 since 2024 (6.4462724935732645rtg)
  • 6 Amer Jamous €500k 23 yr
    —
    10 caps · 10 since 2024 (6.5rtg)
  • 15 Ibrahim Sa'deh 25 yr
    —
  • 25 M. Al Daoud 33 yr
    —
ATT Attackers · 5
  • 9 Ali Olwan Top scorer €250k* 25 yr
    Al-Sailiya · Stars League
    52 caps · 15G · 23 since 2024 (8G/1A · 6.711420612813371rtg)
  • 13 Mahmoud Al Mardi €250k* 32 yr
    Dibba Al-Fujairah · Pro League
    62 caps · 8G · 25 since 2024 (1G/4A · 6.502285714285715rtg)
  • 7 Mohammed Abu Zurayq €225k 28 yr
    —
    31 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.3rtg)
  • 24 A. Azaizeh €325k 21 yr
    Al Shabab · Pro League
    6 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.7081395348837205rtg)  |  club 2G · 1A · 6.73 rtg
  • 11 O. Al Fakhouri 19 yr
    —
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
DEF · additional
  • 18 M. Abu Ghoush 20 yr
  • 26 A. Badawi 28 yr

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6
L 1–3 v ARG
L 1–2 v ALG
L 1–3 v AUT
L 0–2 @ COL
L 1–4 @ SUI
D 2–2 v Nigeria

Group fixtures

3 matches
Date Match P(JOR win) P(draw) Shape
2026-06-16 A vs Austria (AUT) 18.2% 23.4%
2026-06-22 H vs Algeria (ALG) 20.9% 23.5%
2026-06-27 H vs Argentina (ARG) 6.2% 15.6%

What the squad is worth

24 of 26 valued
Squad market value
€14.9M
Rank in the field
48 / 48

Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.

Where the squad plays

7 of 26 with on-pitch minutes
Weighted strength
61.5/100
vs model strength -7.3
Top-5 leagues
37%
Unrated leagues
0%
League Country Players Minutes share Strength
Ligue 1 France 1 36.5% 80
K League 1 South-Korea 1 25.1% 52
Stars League Qatar 2 15.0% 40
HNL Croatia 1 11.7% 55
Pro League Saudi-Arabia 1 10.5% 60
Pro League United-Arab-Emirates 1 1.3% 40

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -7.3 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

5 verified outlets for Jordan (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.