Belgium
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 T. Courtois €28.0M 33 yrReal Madrid · La Liga106 caps · 13 since 2024 (6.9rtg)
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12 S. Lammens €25.0M 23 yrManchester United · Premier League2 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.75rtg)
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13 M. Penders €1.0M 20 yrStrasbourg · Ligue 1
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15 T. Meunier €1.8M 34 yrLille · Ligue 180 caps · 10G · 19 since 2024 (2G/4A · 6.6303754266211605rtg) | club 2G · 2A · 6.87 rtg
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21 T. Castagne €10.0M 30 yrFulham · Premier League63 caps · 29 since 2024 (0G/3A · 7.002603036876355rtg)
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3 A. Theate €24.0M 25 yrEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga37 caps · 1G · 23 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.193375394321767rtg) | club 1G · 6.8 rtg
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5 M. De Cuyper €22.0M 25 yrBrighton · Premier League25 caps · 4G · 25 since 2024 (4G/4A · 6.810828025477707rtg) | club 2G · 3A · 6.86 rtg
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2 Z. Debast €30.0M 22 yrSporting CP · Primeira Liga26 caps · 1G · 21 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.07rtg) | club 0G · 2A · 7.12 rtg
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4 B. Mechele €3.0M 32 yrClub Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League15 caps · 1G · 12 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.951342281879195rtg) | club 5G · 2A · 7.3 rtg
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25 N. Ngoy €3.5M 22 yrLille · Ligue 18 caps · 8 since 2024 (6.851470588235294rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.85 rtg
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16 K. De Winter €12.0M 23 yrAC Milan · Serie A8 caps · 8 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.43rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.88 rtg
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7 K. De Bruyne €15.0M 34 yrNapoli · Serie A118 caps · 34G · 25 since 2024 (12G/3A · 7.506473214285714rtg) | club 5G · 2A · 7.04 rtg
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6 A. Witsel €1.4M 36 yrGirona · La Liga131 caps · 10G · 10 since 2024 (10G/0A · 6.758064516129032rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.85 rtg
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8 Y. Tielemans €35.0M 28 yrAston Villa · Premier League82 caps · 14G · 26 since 2024 (11G/3A · 7.630829420970267rtg) | club 0G · 4A · 7.21 rtg
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10 L. Trossard 31 yrArsenal · Premier League56 caps · 14G · 26 since 2024 (7G/3A · 7.643129770992366rtg) | club 6G · 6A · 6.96 rtg
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11 J. Doku €65.0M 23 yrManchester City · Premier League50 caps · 7G · 30 since 2024 (5G/6A · 7.44891304347826rtg) | club 5G · 5A · 7.39 rtg
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20 H. Vanaken 33 yrClub Brugge KV · Super Cup38 caps · 8G · 17 since 2024 (3G/6A · 6.95923566878981rtg) | club 14G · 6A · 7.2925 rtg
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14 D. Lukebakio €20.0M 28 yrBenfica · Primeira Liga33 caps · 6G · 21 since 2024 (4G/0A · 7.0rtg) | club 0G · 3A · 7.04 rtg
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24 A. Onana €42.0M 24 yrAston Villa · Premier League34 caps · 1G · 25 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.163179916317992rtg) | club 2G · 7.03 rtg
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9 R. Lukaku Top scorer €15.0M 32 yrNapoli · Serie A127 caps · 90G · 19 since 2024 (11G/3A · 6.798406374501992rtg) | club 1G · 6.63 rtg
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17 C. De Ketelaere €34.0M 24 yrAtalanta · Serie A35 caps · 8G · 21 since 2024 (6G/4A · 7.091791044776119rtg) | club 3G · 5A · 7.25 rtg
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22 A. Saelemaekers Top minutes €12.0M 26 yrAC Milan · Serie A28 caps · 3G · 16 since 2024 (2G/5A · 6.5762237762237765rtg) | club 3G · 3A · 7.17 rtg
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26 M. Fernandez-Pardo €3.0M 20 yrLille · Ligue 16 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.864444444444444rtg) | club 8G · 5A · 7.0 rtg
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19 D. Moreira €18.0M 21 yrStrasbourg · Ligue 14 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.78169014084507rtg) | club 4G · 6A · 7.02 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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18 J. Seys 20 yrClub Brugge KV · 5c
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23 N. Raskin 24 yrRangers · 19c/2g
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(BEL win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | H vs Egypt (EGY) | 53.0% | 26.5% | |
| 2026-06-21 | H vs Iran (IRN) | 53.6% | 25.6% | |
| 2026-06-26 | A vs New Zealand (NZL) | 77.2% | 14.8% |
What the squad is worth
Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | England | 7 | 24.6% | 100 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 5 | 21.0% | 80 |
| Serie A | Italy | 5 | 14.4% | 88 |
| Jupiler Pro League | Belgium | 2 | 11.5% | 65 |
| La Liga | Spain | 2 | 9.7% | 95 |
| Super Cup (unrated) | 1 | 6.4% | 30 | |
| Premiership | Scotland | 1 | 5.0% | 50 |
| Bundesliga | Germany | 1 | 3.8% | 90 |
| Primeira Liga | Portugal | 2 | 3.5% | 70 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -1.3 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
Current injury records in the latest feed: J. Doku, N. Ngoy, Z. Debast, Z. Debast, Z. Debast, Z. Debast, Z. Debast, A. Onana, A. Onana.
4 verified outlets for Belgium (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.